Nottingen vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
VFR
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 3
NOT
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
NOT
3 - 0
OFF
71%
17%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
KEH
0 - 3
NOT
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
NOT
4 - 1
STU
63%
19%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
STU
1 - 1
NOR
58%
23%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 4
ILL
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
AST
0 - 1
NOR
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BON
1 - 3
NOR
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 0
NOR
61%
21%
19%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |