Nottingen vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
NOT
2 - 0
CRA
40%
24%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
STU
5 - 0
NOT
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 1
AUI
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ILL
1 - 3
NOT
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 2
FRE
55%
22%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
KEH
0 - 1
NOR
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 1
VIL
29%
26%
46%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 5
HOF
21%
24%
55%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ILL
1 - 1
NOR
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 1
BAH
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |