Nottingen vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CRA
0 - 0
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
NOT
1 - 1
ULM
17%
23%
60%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
FRE
1 - 3
NOT
59%
23%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
NOT
1 - 0
VFR
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
STU
1 - 4
NOT
48%
25%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ULM
0 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
5%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
STU
1 - 4
NOR
28%
26%
46%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
NOR
2 - 1
VFR
60%
23%
18%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
LIN
2 - 3
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 0
AST
27%
24%
49%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |