Nottingen vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
SVS
3 - 1
NOT
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NOT
0 - 0
FEU
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
OFC
3 - 1
NOT
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
NOT
3 - 1
186
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
TUS
2 - 0
NOT
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
MAI
3 - 1
PFU
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
SVS
0 - 2
MAI
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
MAI
1 - 1
STU
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
MAI
1 - 3
LEV
7%
17%
76%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
FEU
2 - 0
MAI
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |