Nottingen vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
AST
3 - 3
NOT
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
NOT
4 - 1
BON
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
NOT
3 - 0
HOL
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
REU
4 - 0
NOT
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -3 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 1
NOT
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
ILL
2 - 1
KEH
63%
22%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
STU
0 - 2
ILL
35%
26%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
OFF
0 - 2
ILL
34%
24%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ILL
1 - 0
AST
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BON
0 - 3
ILL
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |