Nottingen vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
53.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
SPI
1 - 6
NOT
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
HAU
4 - 4
NOT
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
NOT
3 - 2
FRA
59%
20%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 4
HOL
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
NOT
18%
19%
64%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
ASN
1 - 0
HOM
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 0
HES
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SAA
0 - 4
HOM
12%
18%
70%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
SAA
2 - 3
HOM
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 4
ELV
31%
29%
41%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |