Nottingen vs Germania Friedrichstal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.4%
Win probability
4.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.4%
7-0
3.7%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.8%
6-0
6.4%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.6%
5-0
9.4%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.3%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
4.7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.7%
1.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BIS
1 - 1
NOT
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
NOT
5 - 0
REU
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SPI
0 - 1
NOT
21%
21%
58%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
NOT
1 - 1
PFO
78%
13%
8%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NOT
1 - 2
VIL
53%
22%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Germania Friedrichstal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GFR
0 - 1
ILS
26%
21%
52%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BIS
5 - 1
GFR
92%
6%
2%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GFR
1 - 3
PFO
19%
21%
61%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
REU
2 - 0
GFR
91%
7%
3%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GFR
0 - 3
SVS
8%
13%
79%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |