Nottingen vs Lauda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SDO
0 - 1
NOT
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
NOT
0 - 3
BON
39%
26%
35%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -3 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
FRE
3 - 2
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
NOT
3 - 0
FCT
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
PFO
2 - 0
NOT
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
FVL
0 - 2
ULM
12%
21%
68%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
STU
1 - 0
FVL
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
LUD
2 - 2
FVL
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
FVL
1 - 1
SDO
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
BON
2 - 0
FVL
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |