Nottingen vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+110%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BON
2 - 2
NOT
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ILL
1 - 4
NOT
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
NOT
3 - 0
BAH
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
AST
2 - 0
NOT
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
NOT
1 - 2
KIR
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 1
ILL
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 1
FRE
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 1
AST
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
KIR
0 - 1
FRE
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 1
VIL
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |