Nottingen vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
ULM
3 - 1
NOT
79%
13%
7%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
NOT
0 - 0
HEI
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 2
HOF
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
FCE
2 - 2
NOT
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 1
NOR
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
FRE
3 - 0
NOR
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SGS
0 - 2
FRE
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
FRE
2 - 1
FRE
34%
29%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
HEI
2 - 1
FRE
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
VFR
0 - 1
FRE
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |