Nottingen vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
CRA
2 - 3
NOT
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
NOT
1 - 1
WAL
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 4
NOT
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
NOT
5 - 0
BON
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
STU
0 - 1
NOT
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 1
ULM
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 61 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
FRE
1 - 2
LUD
36%
24%
41%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
WEI
2 - 1
FRE
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
FRE
2 - 0
KSC
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
LIN
3 - 2
FRE
38%
24%
37%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |