Nottingen vs Zuzenhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
7.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
18º
4º
8
10º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 80 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 75 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 62 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 39 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 31 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 74% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SGS
3 - 2
NOT
54%
22%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 2
BAL
47%
22%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 2
NOT
25%
23%
53%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SVF
3 - 1
NOT
18%
21%
60%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 0
FRE
34%
23%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Zuzenhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCZ
2 - 3
REU
41%
21%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BIS
0 - 2
FCZ
59%
19%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCZ
1 - 1
LEI
58%
19%
23%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCZ
0 - 3
OBE
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SGS
2 - 2
FCZ
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |