Nottingen vs FC Holzhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
12.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
5º
16º
5º
36
5º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 59% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 41% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 1
NOR
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
REU
1 - 1
NOT
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SGS
0 - 0
NOT
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 1
BIS
50%
20%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DEN
0 - 2
NOT
34%
21%
45%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Holzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SGS
3 - 0
FCH
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCH
3 - 1
BIS
37%
21%
42%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DEN
0 - 4
FCH
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 2
VFR
36%
21%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PFO
1 - 0
FCH
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |