Nottingen vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
81.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.6%
0-3
13.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
AST
4 - 2
NOT
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 2
FRE
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
HOM
0 - 0
NOT
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 2
WWO
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 0
NOT
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
BYM
1 - 0
RMA
39%
24%
37%
|
96 | 96 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
BYM
3 - 0
ACM
75%
16%
9%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
WOL
1 - 1
BYM
13%
17%
70%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
BYM
0 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
96 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
BYM
1 - 0
INT
81%
13%
6%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |