Nottingen vs ASV Durlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
KIR
2 - 0
NOT
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
NOT
1 - 0
OFF
83%
12%
6%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
NOT
3 - 0
VFR
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
KEH
0 - 0
NOT
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
HOF
0 - 0
NOT
68%
20%
13%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Durlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ASV
1 - 1
VFR
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
KIR
3 - 1
ASV
42%
24%
33%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
OFF
0 - 0
ASV
16%
21%
64%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ASV
0 - 2
CRA
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
FRE
5 - 0
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |