Notre Dame vs BDF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notre Dame
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
YOU
1 - 3
NOT
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2006 |
BRI
2 - 1
NOT
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 0
TBR
52%
24%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
NOT
3 - 1
BHI
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2006 |
NOT
3 - 1
EST
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
BDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2006 |
BDF
3 - 0
TBR
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2006 |
PRI
1 - 2
BDF
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2006 |
BDF
1 - 3
YOU
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2006 |
BDF
1 - 2
EST
54%
23%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 0
BDF
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |