Notre Dame vs NC State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notre Dame
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
BCE
1 - 1
NDF
67%
18%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
NDF
0 - 2
VTH
34%
22%
44%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
PIP
2 - 0
NDF
80%
12%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NDF
1 - 2
NCA
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
NDF
2 - 3
WKD
15%
18%
67%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
NC State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
NCS
0 - 2
CET
12%
17%
71%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
BCE
0 - 0
NCS
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NCS
0 - 0
DBD
18%
19%
64%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
NCS
2 - 1
SYO
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CET
1 - 0
NCS
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |