Notodden vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
7º
4º
27
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LYN
4 - 0
NOT
52%
22%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 0
GRO
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 4
NOT
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 0
EGE
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 3
NOT
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 2
KJE
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
VAR
35%
23%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 2
VAR
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 4
NOT
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 0
VAR
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |