Notodden vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
EGE
0 - 1
NOT
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
NOT
1 - 2
HON
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
NOT
3 - 0
BYA
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
VIN
1 - 2
NOT
28%
23%
50%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
NOT
5 - 1
VID
63%
19%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 3
NES
29%
23%
48%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
HOD
0 - 2
VAR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
FAN
1 - 1
VAR
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 2
ODD
56%
21%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BRY
2 - 0
VAR
67%
19%
13%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |