Notodden vs Ørn Horten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ODD
3 - 0
NOT
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
NOT
33%
24%
44%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
NOT
3 - 2
SDF
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
NOT
1 - 2
FRA
50%
23%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BIR
1 - 2
NOT
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ORN
1 - 3
POR
56%
21%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 1
ORN
61%
20%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
ORN
1 - 2
STR
8%
15%
78%
|
44 | 82 | 38 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ORN
1 - 0
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HOL
0 - 4
ORN
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |