Notodden vs Nardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FRA
2 - 3
NOT
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NOT
3 - 0
SSK
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
FFC
1 - 1
NOT
27%
23%
51%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
NOT
3 - 3
KJE
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
ODD
6 - 1
NOT
38%
23%
39%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 2
FKA
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 2
FKA
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FRA
2 - 2
NAR
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SSK
3 - 1
NAR
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NAR
3 - 1
SSK
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |