Notodden vs Kjelsås analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
HAM
1 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
URA
0 - 9
NOT
11%
19%
70%
|
55 | 14 | 41 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NOT
0 - 1
S08
47%
23%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 0
NOT
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
NOT
3 - 0
BRY
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Kjelsås
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
KJE
2 - 1
FAN
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
KJE
4 - 1
BIR
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ROS
1 - 0
KJE
64%
18%
18%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
KJE
3 - 1
MOL
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BYA
3 - 2
KJE
58%
21%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |