Notodden vs Jerv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
14º
11º
44
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 57 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 48 |
2º
|
76.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 47 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 40 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 39 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 35 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 32 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 32 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
13º
|
60% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 20 |
14º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 76.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
20.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
NOT
50%
21%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 4
HOD
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
VIK
2 - 3
NOT
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 2
NOT
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 2
ORN
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
JER
3 - 1
LYS
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
JER
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 4
JER
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
JER
2 - 1
FFC
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
FKA
3 - 3
JER
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |