Notodden vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
NYB
4 - 2
NOT
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
NOT
0 - 1
KON
43%
24%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
STA
1 - 1
NOT
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NOT
2 - 0
MOS
37%
25%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SOG
2 - 1
NOT
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
HON
1 - 1
BRY
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
HAM
1 - 2
HON
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
HON
3 - 1
KON
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
HAU
3 - 2
HON
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
MOS
4 - 0
HON
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |