Notodden vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
NOT
1 - 1
POR
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
NOT
0 - 2
FKA
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
NOT
1 - 2
KFU
27%
23%
50%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
JER
2 - 1
NOT
35%
24%
40%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
ODD
7 - 0
NOT
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
MJO
3 - 0
BAR
25%
23%
53%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 3
SEN
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ODD
2 - 1
BAR
36%
23%
41%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
GRO
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ASA
6 - 1
BAR
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -2 |