Noto vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
NOT
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 2
VIG
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 1
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 0
LEO
36%
28%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 0
NOT
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
REG
23%
22%
56%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 0
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
PAL
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SCO
1 - 3
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
GRA
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |