Noto vs Leonfortese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 0
NOT
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 0
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
RAA
1 - 1
NOT
52%
26%
23%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 0
DTO
36%
29%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 0
GEL
53%
25%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leonfortese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 2
REG
30%
26%
45%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 0
LEO
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
PAL
56%
21%
22%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SCO
0 - 1
LEO
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
LEO
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |