Noto vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
REG
1 - 1
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 1
AGR
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
NOT
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NOT
3 - 0
SCO
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 1
NOT
43%
23%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 2
REG
23%
25%
53%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
AGR
1 - 1
GEL
58%
23%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GEL
1 - 2
PAL
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SCO
0 - 2
GEL
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GEL
1 - 1
GRA
43%
24%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |