Noto vs Agropoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
NOT
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NOT
3 - 0
SCO
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 1
NOT
43%
23%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 1
NFR
30%
23%
48%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
USV
0 - 0
NOT
38%
27%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Agropoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AGR
0 - 1
REG
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 3
AGR
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AGR
0 - 0
SCO
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 0
AGR
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
AGR
1 - 4
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |