NoSta vs Ural II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
13º
10º
34
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 56 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 54 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 47 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 43 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 40 |
7º
|
46% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 30 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 30 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 18 |
14º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NoSta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 1
NOS
41%
24%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NOS
0 - 1
RKZ
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KRS
2 - 1
NOS
18%
19%
63%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NOS
0 - 3
PER
9%
20%
70%
|
30 | 63 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 1
NOS
9%
15%
76%
|
32 | 6 | 26 | -2 |
Matches
Ural II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
URA
1 - 1
KAZ
86%
10%
5%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VNO
0 - 2
URA
35%
23%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
URA
2 - 1
LAD
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 0
URA
30%
23%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
URA
3 - 0
FKA
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |