NoSta vs Gornyak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
65.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NoSta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
KHI
0 - 0
NOS
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
NOS
2 - 0
RUB
49%
25%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
DIN
1 - 1
NOS
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NOS
0 - 2
UFA
14%
23%
63%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
OKT
3 - 2
NOS
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
GUC
0 - 0
VOL
55%
26%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
AKT
1 - 1
GUC
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
GUC
0 - 0
TYU
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 0
GUC
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GUC
2 - 2
ZEN
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |