NoSta vs Torpedo Miass analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
60.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
12º
12º
28
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NoSta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 0
NOS
82%
13%
5%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NOS
1 - 1
ORE
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
URA
2 - 2
NOS
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
NOS
3 - 0
DIN
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
NOS
1 - 1
IRT
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Torpedo Miass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PER
4 - 0
MIA
65%
24%
12%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 2
FKK
34%
25%
42%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
FCN
0 - 1
MIA
61%
21%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
URA
1 - 2
MIA
58%
21%
20%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 1
ZEN
80%
13%
8%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |