Norwich City Sub 21 vs Derby County Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.7%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+203%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
6º
6º
1
10º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MID
1 - 3
NOR
17%
21%
63%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 1
NOR
34%
25%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NOR
4 - 2
NWC
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 2
NOR
21%
22%
57%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 2
SUN
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
WBA
2 - 1
DCO
75%
15%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
NWC
4 - 0
DCO
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DCO
0 - 4
SUN
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
MID
3 - 1
DCO
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
DCO
2 - 5
LUS
25%
20%
55%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |