EFL Cup 1/32
Global 4-2
Norwich City vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
NOR
0 - 0
BCF
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
BAR
1 - 3
NOR
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
WBA
2 - 0
NOR
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
NOR
4 - 2
QPR
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWA
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
BOU
1 - 0
WIG
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
WIG
1 - 1
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
NOT
0 - 1
WIG
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1998 |
WIG
1 - 3
LUT
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
BRO
3 - 2
WIG
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |