Norwich City vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SWA
1 - 0
NOR
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
COV
0 - 1
NOR
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
CRY
4 - 0
NOR
67%
19%
13%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 1
SHE
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 2
BBU
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 1
COV
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 0
WAT
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 0
PLY
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 1
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 0
STO
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |