Norwich City vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SWA
2 - 1
NOR
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 1
SHW
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BIR
1 - 1
NOR
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 0
PLY
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 0
CAR
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 1
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
WAT
2 - 2
SOU
58%
22%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
DON
1 - 2
WAT
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
IPS
0 - 0
WAT
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
WAT
47%
26%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |