Norwich City vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
NOR
6 - 0
BIR
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1970 |
BOL
0 - 0
NOR
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1970 |
WAT
1 - 1
NOR
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1970 |
OPA
1 - 4
NOR
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1970 |
PNE
1 - 1
NOR
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1970 |
HUR
3 - 1
WAT
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1970 |
MUD
2 - 0
WAT
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1970 |
WAT
1 - 1
NOR
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1970 |
WAT
0 - 0
PNE
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1970 |
OPA
3 - 1
WAT
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |