EFL Cup 1/16
Global 5-3
Norwich City vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1994 |
NOR
0 - 0
EVE
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1994 |
SOU
1 - 1
NOR
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
WIM
1 - 0
NOR
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
TRA
1 - 1
NOR
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
NOR
4 - 2
QPR
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
OLD
0 - 0
TRA
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1994 |
TRA
6 - 1
BAR
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1994 |
TRA
1 - 1
POR
69%
18%
12%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
TRA
1 - 1
NOR
39%
24%
37%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
WAT
2 - 0
TRA
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |