Norwich City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
NOR
5 - 2
WYC
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
BRE
2 - 1
NOR
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
EXE
1 - 1
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
YEO
0 - 4
NOR
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 7
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SUN
2 - 1
BBU
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 3
CHL
14%
23%
63%
|
80 | 96 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 1
SUN
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SUN
2 - 3
CHL
14%
24%
62%
|
79 | 96 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2009 |
OPA
3 - 1
SUN
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |