Norwich City vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OXF
2 - 0
NOR
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 3
STP
28%
23%
49%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
HOF
2 - 2
NOR
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 1
MAG
49%
23%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SDL
1 - 1
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STE
1 - 0
STF
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STE
1 - 0
CHE
43%
22%
35%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
STE
18%
23%
58%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
STE
1 - 3
COV
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
JBF
0 - 3
STE
6%
13%
82%
|
67 | 32 | 35 | 0 |