Norwich City vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
3 - 4
WBA
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BIR
2 - 2
NOR
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
NOR
17%
20%
63%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
LUT
1 - 3
NOR
34%
23%
44%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
WOL
1 - 1
NOR
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 3
STE
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
STE
2 - 2
TRA
39%
26%
34%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
STE
0 - 1
WAT
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
STN
0 - 3
STE
29%
24%
48%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
STE
3 - 2
OPA
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |