Norwich City vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
QPR
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FUL
5 - 0
NOR
68%
18%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 2
BOR
88%
9%
3%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
HUL
0 - 0
NOR
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
MKD
0 - 0
NOR
31%
25%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SCU
0 - 4
YEO
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SCU
1 - 2
CRE
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 0
SCU
61%
21%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
DER
5 - 5
SCU
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SCU
0 - 1
MID
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |