Norwich City vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
STO
2 - 1
NOR
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
BPO
1 - 3
NOR
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
NOR
2 - 0
COV
40%
27%
34%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
PLY
3 - 0
NOR
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 3
WAT
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
PLY
3 - 0
SCU
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
PLY
1 - 2
WBA
33%
27%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
SHE
0 - 1
PLY
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
PLY
3 - 0
NOR
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
COL
1 - 1
PLY
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |