Norwich City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1994 |
NOR
2 - 1
LEI
71%
18%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
COV
1 - 0
NOR
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1994 |
NOR
4 - 2
TRA
71%
18%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1994 |
NOR
0 - 0
EVE
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1994 |
SOU
1 - 1
NOR
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1994 |
NOT
2 - 0
WBA
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
BOL
2 - 0
NOT
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1994 |
NOT
3 - 2
SUN
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1994 |
SOU
1 - 0
NOT
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1994 |
BUR
2 - 1
NOT
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |