Norwich City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
CRY
3 - 1
NOR
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 0
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
REA
2 - 0
NOR
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
WAT
2 - 1
NOR
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 0
IPS
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
NTT
2 - 4
DON
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SOU
0 - 2
NTT
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
NTT
0 - 0
BPO
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
NTT
0 - 1
SHE
35%
29%
37%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
COV
2 - 2
NTT
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |