Norwich City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
NTT
1 - 1
NOR
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
NOR
1 - 0
ARS
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
EVE
3 - 0
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
NOR
1 - 0
BRI
64%
22%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
MAC
4 - 0
NOR
70%
18%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
IPS
2 - 1
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
NEW
4 - 0
BOH
91%
6%
3%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
NEW
1 - 2
COV
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
BIR
3 - 0
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
BOH
0 - 0
NEW
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |