Norwich City vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 1
NOR
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 2
BUR
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
OPA
0 - 0
NOR
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
QPR
3 - 0
NOR
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 2
LUT
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 0
BBU
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MID
1 - 0
MIL
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 1
SHE
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 1
COV
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
OXF
1 - 1
MIL
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |