Norwich City vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
DER
2 - 2
NOR
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NOR
5 - 0
HUR
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
WIG
0 - 1
NOR
38%
27%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 2
REA
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 3
BHA
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 1
BOL
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
BHA
0 - 1
MIL
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 5
MID
26%
27%
46%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BOU
2 - 2
MIL
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
MIL
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |