Norwich City vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
BHA
1 - 3
NOR
25%
27%
49%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 1
HUL
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
NOR
0 - 1
REA
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 0
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
IPS
0 - 1
NOR
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
HUL
1 - 1
MIL
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
MIL
1 - 1
QPR
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
MIL
0 - 0
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
YEO
1 - 2
MIL
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
SHW
1 - 2
MIL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |