Norwich City vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
CHL
4 - 0
NOR
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
MAC
3 - 1
NOR
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
NOR
0 - 0
CHL
18%
25%
56%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 1
WAL
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
SHW
0 - 5
NOR
55%
23%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2002 |
MIL
1 - 0
WAT
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2002 |
MIL
1 - 1
BIR
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
MIL
2 - 1
SCU
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2002 |
WAT
1 - 4
MIL
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
MIL
2 - 0
CRE
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |